統計数学セミナー
Seminar on Probability and Statistics
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Seminar on Probability and Statistics
Thursday July 1 2004
Tokyo 128
2:40-3:50 pm


非同期観測される高頻度取引データを用いた 共分散-相関係数の推定方法について (On covariance estimation for high-frequency financial data)


林 高樹 / HAYASHI, Takaki
コロンビア大学 / Columbia University

Abstract

We consider the problem of estimating the covariance/correlation of twodiffusion prices that are observed at discrete times in a nonsynchronous manner. A modern, popular approach in the literature, "realized" estimator, which is based on the sum of cross-products of intraday log-price changes measured on regularly-spaced intervals over a day, is problematic because choice of regular interval size and data interpolation scheme may lead to unreliable estimation. We present a new estimation procedure recently proposed by Hayashi and Yoshida(03)(04), which is free of such "synchronization" of data, hence, free from biases or other problems caused by it. In particular, the estimators are shown to have consistency as the observation frequency (or the market liquidity) tends to infinity, which is not possessed by realized estimators.




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Seminar on Probability and Statistics