統計数学セミナー
Seminar on Probability and Statistics |
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Seminar on Probability and Statistics Wednesday November 14 2007 Tokyo 122 4:20-5:30 pm
Estimation of Distortion Risk Measures
塚原 英敦 / TSUKAHARA, Hideatsu 成城大学経済学部 / Faculty of Economics, Seijo University Abstract By Kusuoka's representation theorem, the class of distortion risk measures
with convex distortions coincides with the set of coherent risk measures
that are law invariant and comonotonically additive. The class includes
the renowned expected shortfall which has many nice features and is
of frequent use in practice.
To implement the risk management/regulatory procedure using risk measures,
it is necessary to estimate the values of such risk measures.
For a distortion risk measure, its form suggests a natural estimator
which is a simple form of $L$-statistics. We have seen in our previous work
that it has nice asymptotic properties with i.i.d.\ data.
After reviewing these results briefly, we investigate the large sample properties
of the estimator based on dependent data, especially GARCH sequences,
which are often used for modelling financial time series data.
Related issues such as semiparametric estimation with the extreme value theory
and backtesting are briefly addressed.
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