統計数学セミナー
Seminar on Probability and Statistics
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Seminar on Probability and Statistics
Friday November 27 2009
Tokyo 128
1:40-2:50 pm


非線形時系列モデルのイノベーション密度の推定


加藤 賢悟 / KATO Kengo
広島大学大学院理学研究科数学専攻 / Department of Mathematics, Graduate School of Science, Hiroshima University

Abstract

In this talk, we consider the problem of estimating the innovation density in nonlinear autoregressive models. Specifically, we establish the convergence rate of the supremum distance between the residual-based kernel density estimator and the kernel density estimator using the unobservable actual innovation variables. The proof of the main theorem relies on empirical process theory instead of the conventional Taylor expansion approach. As applications, we obtain the exact rate of weak uniform consistency on the whole line, pointwise asymptotic normality of the residual-based kernel density estimator and the asymptotic distribution of a Bickel-Rosenblatt type global measure statistic related to it. We also examine the conditions of the main theorem for some specic time series model.




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Seminar on Probability and Statistics